Abstract

Understanding long-term changes in precipitation and temperature patterns is important in the detection and characterization of climate change, as is understanding the implications of climate change when performing impact assessments. This study uses a statistically robust methodology to quantify long-, medium- and short-term changes for evaluating the degree to which climate change and urbanization have caused temporal changes in precipitation and temperature in South Korea. We sought to identify a fingerprint of changes in precipitation and temperature based on statistically significant differences at multiple-timescales. This study evaluates historical weather data during a 40-year period (1973–2012) and from 54 weather stations. Our results demonstrate that between 1993–2012, minimum and maximum temperature trends in the vicinity of urban and agricultural areas are significantly different from the two previous decades (1973–1992). The results for precipitation amounts show significant differences in urban areas. These results indicate that the climate in urbanized areas has been affected by both the heat island effect and global warming-caused climate change. The increase in the number of rainfall events in agricultural areas is highly significant, although the temporal trends for precipitation amounts showed no significant differences. Overall, the impacts of climate change and urbanization in South Korea have not been continuous over time and have been expressed locally and regionally in terms of precipitation and temperature changes.

Highlights

  • Recent decades have seen a rising awareness of climate change, largely the result of improved understanding of long-term changes in climatic processes at different temporal and spatial scales [1,2].Many studies on shifts in extreme climate events have been conducted over the past decade and most of them showed changes in extreme precipitation and temperature variability in different global regions, with the warm temperature indices witnessing significant upward trends [3,4,5]

  • Significant differences in precipitation amounts were found for small areas in the northwest region in groups I and II and significant differences in the number of rainfall events were identified for small areas in the central and southwest regions in groups II and Atmosphere 2018, 9, x FOR PEER REVIEW

  • Our results indicate that the identified changes in precipitation are likely the result of the urban heat island effect overlapping with global warming in South Korea during the rapid period of urbanization-industrialization [40]

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Summary

Introduction

Many studies on shifts in extreme climate events have been conducted over the past decade and most of them showed changes in extreme precipitation and temperature variability in different global regions, with the warm temperature indices witnessing significant upward trends [3,4,5]. Atmosphere 2018, 9, 273 investigate observations of recent climate trends at regional scales to evaluate specific changes in meteorological elements on a smaller scale [7,8]. Regional climate trends can be very different from the global average and may more accurately be described in terms of shifts in the circulation and interaction of the atmosphere and ocean, in addition to other climate system components [13,14,15].

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