Abstract
Abstract Active modes take up an increasingly important place on the global policy-making agenda. In the Netherlands, a country that is well-known for its high shares of walking and cycling, the government aims at achieving a modal shift among 200,000 commuting car drivers towards using the bicycle. To this end, policy measures need to be introduced. When the aim is to achieve a modal switch over an enduring period of time, it is more relevant to know the likelihood of including or excluding a mode in the mode choice set, compared to choosing a mode for a single trip. Therefore, we investigate the formation of the experienced choice set (set of modes used over a long period of time), where the aim is to identify determinants that influence the inclusion or exclusion of a mode in this set. We estimate discrete choice models, based on survey data from the Netherlands Mobility Panel (MPN) and a complementary survey, where individuals were asked to report the frequency of using certain modes of transport for commuting trips over the course of half a year. This study shows that the experienced choice set for commuting is unimodal for the majority of the individuals, and remains constant over time for most individuals. Reimbursement by the employer for using a certain mode is the most important determinant influencing the experienced choice set, followed by ownership characteristics and urban density. We show that the mode choice set formation depends on more determinants than previously assumed.
Highlights
Due to increasing urbanisation rates accompanied by growing transportation demands, governments worldwide have been increasingly interested in active modes of transport, i.e. walking and cycling
This paper presents the findings of an analysis of the experienced mode choice set and identifies the determinants that impact this set
The experienced choice set is the set of modes that is used over a long period of time
Summary
Due to increasing urbanisation rates accompanied by growing transportation demands, governments worldwide have been increasingly interested in active modes of transport, i.e. walking and cycling. In this study we investigate the experienced choice set of individuals in the Netherlands, by observing their mode use for commuting trips over the course of half a year. The data used for identification of the experienced choice set is the Netherlands Mobility Panel (MPN) survey data featuring Dutch-speaking individuals from the Netherlands This dataset contains personal and household data, and is enriched with a survey that investigates, among others, the modes used by the respondents for commuting trips over a time period of half a year. We identify determinants that are relevant for inclusion of a mode in the experienced choice set by applying discrete choice models These determinants can be used to identify policy measures that aim to realise a mode switch from the car to the bicycle.
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