Abstract

The influx of asylum-seekers and refugees from across Africa into democratic South Africa has increased significantly. The aim of this paper is to determine the factors that influences the expect well-being of this unique group. Expected well-being is an important determinant of both the decision to migrate and the choice of a country of destination. Knowledge about this determinant therefore informs refugee policies. The results show that only a few of the factors found in the literature explaining the expected well-being of voluntary migrants also explain the expected well-being of forced migrants. However, a number of factors found in the literature that explain the subjective well-being and well-being in general of refugees and asylum-seekers also went towards explaining the expected well-being of this group. These factors include: government assistance, culture, the time spent in South Africa, economic factors, crime, refugee status, reasons for leaving the home countries and the number of people staying in a house in the receiving country. The findings of this study emphasise the differences between forced and voluntary migrants and highlight the factors that influence the expected well-being of forced migrants. These in turn shed light on migration decisions and the choice of destination countries.

Highlights

  • Since South Africa’s transition to democracy, the influx into the country of asylum-seekers from across Africa has increased almost tenfold

  • Factors that have been found in South Africa to influence the well-being of refugees and asylum-seekers were economic, cultural and religious affiliations, crime and the ability to access protection, and economic and social rights. Both the factors found to influence the expected well-being of voluntary migrants and those found to influence the well-being and subjective well-being of refugees and asylum-seekers, according to the literature, are included in the model to test the extent to which these factors explain the expected well-being of refugees and asylum-seekers in the inner city of Johannesburg

  • A likely reason for this result is that higher levels of education among refugees and asylum-seekers do not necessarily lead to improved well-being. This result partly accords with the findings of Czaika and Vothknecht (2012). Their results showed that lower levels of education do not explain the expected well-being of voluntary migrants, higher levels of education are statistically significant in explaining the expected well-being of forced migrants in the USA, which is a developed country

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Summary

Introduction

Since South Africa’s transition to democracy, the influx into the country of asylum-seekers from across Africa has increased almost tenfold. The majority of the refugees and asylum-seekers who move to South Africa find refuge in the bigger cities like Johannesburg. One of the major determinants of refugees’ and asylum-seekers’ migration decision and choice of destination country, insofar as they have a choice, is that of expected well-being (Massey, Arango, Hugo, Kouaouci, Pellegrino & Taylor, 1993; Czaika, 2014; Spinks, 2013). An understanding of the factors that influence expected well-being will contribute to a better understanding of the well-being of refugees and asylum-seekers, but will lead to a better understanding of their decision to migrate as well as their choice of a destination country and region

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