The Evolution and Impact of Asian Exchange Rate Regimes

Abstract

This paper revisits the issue of the evolution and choice of exchange rate regimes in Asia. The paper first compiles and discusses the de jure in various developing and emerging Asian economies. It then goes on to offer a simple empirical estimation of the degree of influence of the G3 currencies in selected Asian currencies over the past decade. The paper finds some evidence of evolution of Asian exchange rate policies toward an apparent “fear of appreciation” rather than “fear of floating” per se. The broader point though is a general reluctance of many Asian economies to allow for a “benign neglect” of their currencies both in terms of managing volatility as well as in terms of leaning against the wind. The paper examines some of the concerns with exchange rate flexibility that persist, and offers an extended discussion on the appropriate exchange rate regimes for Asia in the future.