The Euro Zone and the Sovereign Debt Crisis

Abstract

In January 2011, during the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, Jason Sterling, a hedge fund manager, was conducting online research to see if he could trade on any newsworthy information emerging from the summit. Sterling's fund traded primarily in sovereign debt, and he needed to figure out if European leaders would be able to come up with a viable solution to the crisis or whether the debt crisis would lead to the default of several European nations. He knew that if a solution was not found in the coming weeks, the sovereign debt markets could be thrown into turmoil. Excerpt UVA-F-1649 Jul. 11, 2011 THE EURO ZONE AND THE SOVEREIGN DEBT CRISIS For decades, the single European currency was merely an idea shared by a few people. Many others said that it could not be done or that it was bound to fail. —Jean-Claude Trichet Jason Sterling sat on his hedge fund's Stamford, Connecticut, trading floor on January 28, 2011, scouring the Wall Street Journal and Bloomberg websites for any news coming out of the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. He knew that the emerging sovereign debt crisis in Europe would be a primary topic of discussion among the world leaders and bankers who had convened at the summit, and he was hoping to find some new information that he could trade on before the close of trading for the week. Sterling's fund traded primarily in sovereign debt, and he needed to figure out if European leaders would be able to come up with a viable solution to the crisis or whether the debt crisis would lead to the default of several European nations. At the forefront of the crisis was Greece, which faced ballooning deficits, rising interest payments, and the prospect of having to default on or restructure its outstanding debt. Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain were the other euro zone countries that faced growing fiscal problems and were the focus of sovereign debt investors. Sterling knew that if a solution was not found in the coming weeks, the sovereign debt markets could be thrown into turmoil.