Abstract
Taxes are generated with the creation of the state, to satisfy the state to fulfill its functions material needs. The scale of taxation is an important indicator to measure the national financial strength and the function scope of the government in social and economic life. Tax forecasting is of great significance to tax planning and budget management. The current economic form requires the establishment of a scientific forecasting system based on tax revenue forecasting as soon as possible, so as to grasp the initiative of organizing tax revenue. Therefore, this paper adopts the methods of econometrics and time series to establish a tax revenue forecast model and conduct empirical test and economic analysis on it, trying to provide a reference for the national and local taxation bureaus to formulate scientific tax collection plans and promote a more harmonious development of the regional economy.
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