Abstract
While much is known about the US corporate bond market, relatively little research focuses on the Euro counterpart. In this paper, the evaluation of Euro-denominated industrial bonds is investigated by using a panel econometric approach. We analyze several evaluation determinants that theoretically should affect the risk premia of corporate bonds and show in a sample of nearly 500 investment grade rated issues observed over a 29 months time frame that idiosyncratic as well as systematic risk factors generate empirically significant explanation contributions. The residuals from the panel regression of credit spreads on these determinants contain both stationary and random walk elements, which may be exploited to optimize the investment results in the active management of bond portfolios. Specifically, the analysis reveals that lagged changes of the residuals have significant empirical influence on the changes of credit spreads.
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