The efficacy of EORTC risk tables in Japanese patients with non-muscle invasive bladder cancer.

Abstract

331 Background: To predict recurrence and progression of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), EORTC risk tables are widely used worldwide. EORTC risk tables were, however, developed on the basis of individual data from 2,596 NMIBC patients included in seven special European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer trials. Therefore, it is not clear the efficacy of these risk tables in clinical practice, especially in Japan. I will report the recurrence and progression rate on the basis of EORTC risk tables in Japanese NMIBC patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 619 patients with NMIBC treated between January 1998 and 2012 was performed. Patients were divided into three groups on the basis of EORTC risk tables. We compared recurrence- and progression-free survival rates between groups. Recurrence- and progression-free survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Results: We evaluated the clinical outcome of 1,032 TUR-Bt. The recurrence rate is 32.3% in low risk group (n=31), 44.5% in intermediate risk group (n=757), and 49.4% in high risk group (n=85). The median recurrence free survival time is 87 months in low risk group, 35 months in intermediate risk group, and 25 months in high risk group. Although there are significant differences in recurrence free survival time between low risk group and intermediate risk group (p=0.0351), there are no significant differences between intermediate risk group and high risk group (p=0.1871). On the other hand, the progression rate is 1.6% in low risk group (n=128), 5.8% in intermediate risk group (n=451), and 18.0% in high risk group (n=294). The median progression free survival time is 176 months in low risk group, 131 months in intermediate risk group, and 109 months in high risk group. There are significant differences in progression free survival time between low risk group and intermediate risk group (p=0.0138), and between intermediate risk group and high risk group (p=<0.0001). Conclusions: There is an urgent need to establish the standard of recurrence risk classification in Japan.