Abstract

BackgroundPublished literature detailing the effects of heatwaves on human health is readily available. However literature describing the effects of heat on morbidity is less plentiful, as is research describing events in the southern hemisphere and Australia in particular. To identify susceptible populations and direct public health responses research must move beyond description of the temperature morbidity relationship to include social and spatial risk factors. This paper presents a spatial and socio-demographic picture of the effects of hot weather on persons admitted to hospital with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Melbourne.ResultsIn this study, the use of a spatial and socio-economic perspective has identified two groups within the population that have an increased 'risk' of AMI admissions to hospital during hot weather. AMI increases during hot weather were only identified in the most disadvantaged and the least disadvantaged areas. Districts with higher AMI admissions rates during hot weather also had larger proportions of older residents. Age provided some explanation for the spatial distribution of AMI admissions on single hot days whereas socio-economic circumstance did not. During short periods (3-days) of hot weather, age explained the spatial distribution of AMI admissions slightly better than socioeconomic circumstance.ConclusionsThis study has demonstrated that both age and socioeconomic inequality contribute to AMI admissions to hospital in Melbourne during hot weather. By using socioeconomic circumstance to define quintiles, differences in AMI admissions were quantified and demographic differences in AMI admissions were described. Including disease specificity into climate-health research methods is necessary to identify climate-sensitive diseases and highlight the burden of climate-sensitive disease in the community. Cardiac disease is a major cause of death and disability and identifying cardiac-specific climate thresholds and the spatio-demographic characteristics of vulnerable groups within populations is an important step towards preventative health care by informing public health officials and providing a guide for an early heat-health warning system. This information is especially important under current climatic conditions and for assessing the future impact of climate change.

Highlights

  • In recent years, several meteorological models have been developed to assess the impact of climate change on human health, in particular the effects of heatwave episodes [1,2,3]

  • acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was selected for this study as this is a serious cardiac condition which routinely results in hospitalisation; cardiovascular morbidity is the largest burden of disease in Australia [19]

  • Analyses of the AMI temperature relationships for each of the socioeconomic quintiles independently indicated that threshold temperatures above which AMI increased were only identified in the most disadvantaged and the least disadvantaged areas, i.e. quintile 1 and quintile 5 respectively

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Summary

Introduction

Several meteorological models have been developed to assess the impact of climate change on human health, in particular the effects of heatwave episodes [1,2,3]. Threshold temperatures above which the hospital admission rate for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) increases for Melbourne Australia have been identified in a previous study [18]. Examining the spatial distribution of AMI admissions on days exceeding these threshold temperatures, as is done here, could provide information about the social and demographic characteristics of ‘place’ that may influence heat related morbidity. Literature describing the effects of heat on morbidity is less plentiful, as is research describing events in the southern hemisphere and Australia in particular. To identify susceptible populations and direct public health responses research must move beyond description of the temperature morbidity relationship to include social and spatial risk factors. This paper presents a spatial and socio-demographic picture of the effects of hot weather on persons admitted to hospital with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Melbourne

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