The effects of recent changes in air temperature on trends in airborne Alternaria, Epicoccum and Stemphylium spore seasons in Bratislava (Slovakia)

Abstract

Over the period 2002–2014, air temperature significantly increased regionally for Bratislava. However, no significant shifts have been observed in other meteorological parameters examined. The aim of this study was to analyse the effect of significant temperature trends on timing, duration and intensity of Alternaria, Epicoccum and Stemphylium spore seasons. Aerobiological monitoring was conducted using a Burkard 7-day volumetric spore trap. Mann–Kendall tau test was used to determine trends in spore seasons characteristics, whereas Spearman’s correlation coefficients were calculated to establish the relationships between temperature and spore season time series. Spore seasons of analysed taxa changed throughout the years of study. Alternaria spore season now starts earlier, ends later and lasts longer. Start, end and peak dates as well as duration of Alternaria spore seasons were significantly correlated with recorded increases in winter temperatures. Despite significant lengthening of Alternaria spore seasons, the lack of rising trend in its spore season index has been registered. This phenomenon could be partly explained by the reduction in the source vegetation due to drop of agricultural land use areas in Bratislava. In contrast, the intensity of Stemphylium spore seasons significantly increased during the study period and was correlated with recorded increases in summer–autumn temperatures. Based on the results of this study, it could be concluded that changes in selected fungal spore season patterns in Bratislava (earlier start date, later end date and longer duration of Alternaria spore seasons and higher Stemphylium spore season indexes) might be caused by the recorded local change in air temperature.