Abstract
PurposeThis paper aims to provide empirical evidence on the El Nino and its effects on maize production in three municipalities: Ejura, Techiman and Wenchi in the transitional zone of Ghana. Using a mixed approach, the study details the effects of the El Nino on rainy season characteristics, particularly, rainfall amounts and distribution, onset and cessation of rains, duration of the rainy season and total seasonal rainfall and how it impacted smallholder maize production.Design/methodology/approachThe study used a mixed method approach in collecting and analyzing data. For stronger evidence building, (Creswell, 2013) the authors combined interviews and focus group discussions (FGD) to collect the qualitative data. Semi-structured questionnaires were administered to extension officers, management information system officers and other relevant personnel of the Ministry of Agriculture in the three municipalities. Six FGD’s were held for maize farmers in six communities in all three municipalities.FindingsThe study shows that the 2015 El Nino had dire consequences on farm yields, subsequently affecting farmer’s incomes and livelihoods. The study further finds that complex socio-cultural factors, some unrelated to the El Nino, aggravated the effects on maize farmers. These include the lack of adequate climatic information, predominance of rain-fed farming, a lack of capacity to adapt and existing levels of poverty.Originality/valueThe study recommends inter alia, appropriate use of seasonal rainfall forecasting to enhance better farming decision-making and the development of elaborate climate variability interventions by national and local agencies.
Highlights
One of the topical issues in the world today is climate variability and its effect on crop production
This situation is attributed to a number of factors including distribution obstacles, (Godfray et al, 2010; FAO, 2016), ineffective local agriculture (Antwi-Agyei et al, 2013) and poor governance (Clover, 2003), it is the changes in climate and climate variability that seem to have a stronger explanatory weight in the whole food security discourse (Sasson, 2012; Mawunya and Adiku, 2013)
4.1 Effects of El Nino on rainfall Given that El Nino is associated with a reduction in rainfall in the study area (Owusu and Waylen, 2013; Adiku and Stone, 1995), the study among other things sought to examine the severity of rainfall reduction in the transitional zone during the 2015 El Nino year
Summary
One of the topical issues in the world today is climate variability and its effect on crop production. As indicated by the 2015 global food security index, malnutrition, starvation and deaths still persist in Sub-Saharan Africa despite significant food security improvements over the past decade. This situation is attributed to a number of factors including distribution obstacles, (Godfray et al, 2010; FAO, 2016), ineffective local agriculture (Antwi-Agyei et al, 2013) and poor governance (Clover, 2003), it is the changes in climate and climate variability that seem to have a stronger explanatory weight in the whole food security discourse (Sasson, 2012; Mawunya and Adiku, 2013)
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