Abstract
Railway track geometry deteriorates under repeated train loading. When linespeed is increased or new rolling-stock is introduced this can alter the future rate of change of differential settlement and track geometry. Therefore this paper presents a novel combined engineering-economic approach to investigate the effect of increasing train speeds, adding additional passenger movements, and adding additional freight movements to an existing line. Firstly a numerical algorithm is presented to compute differential track settlement. An important novelty of the model is its use of the wavenumber finite element method coupled with settlement relationships in a manner that allows for track irregularities to evolve after every load passage (i.e. taking into account the evolution of the track unevenness profile before applying each subsequent train passage). Unlike traditional approaches this allows the model to faithfully simulate mixed traffic conditions, including the coupled interactions between different rolling stock types and track geometry. The engineering model is used to predict tamping intervals, and then coupled with an economic model capable of calculating deterioration elasticities and marginal costs. It is shown that higher speeds result in higher dynamic forces and cause a faster rate of deterioration of track geometry, thus increasing marginal cost. The model is then used to investigate the effect of adding additional train movements to a passenger line. It is shown that additional movements increase the rate of track degradation and marginal costs, particularly if the additional traffic is freight. This is because freight vehicles typically have one only layer of (stiff) suspension, thus generating elevated dynamic forces compared to passenger vehicles.
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