Abstract
ABSTRACT In this study, the relationship between exchange rate uncertainty and Turkey’s foreign trade performance is analyzed using monthly data from 2002:01 to 2017:12 via Structural VAR (SVAR) model. The empirical results indicate that domestic income and import have more impact on Turkey’s export. Moreover, domestic income, exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainty are effective on Turkey’s import. These results imply that Turkey’s export is dependent on imported inputs more than the exchange rate and exchange rate uncertainties.
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