Abstract

The similarity of atrophy patterns in Alzheimer’s disease (AD) and in normal aging suggests age as a confounding factor in multivariate models that use structural magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data. To study the effect and compare different age correction approaches on AD diagnosis and prediction of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) progression as well as investigate the characteristics of correctly and incorrectly classified subjects. Data from two multi-center cohorts were included in the study [AD = 297, MCI = 445, controls (CTL) = 340]. 34 cortical thickness and 21 subcortical volumetric measures were extracted from MRI. The age correction approaches involved: using age as a covariate to MRI-derived measures and linear detrending of age-related changes based on CTL measures. Orthogonal projections to latent structures was used to discriminate between AD and CTL subjects, and to predict MCI progression to AD, up to 36-months follow-up. Both age correction approaches improved models’ quality in terms of goodness of fit and goodness of prediction, as well as classification and prediction accuracies. The observed age associations in classification and prediction results were effectively eliminated after age correction. A detailed analysis of correctly and incorrectly classified subjects highlighted age associations in other factors: ApoE genotype, global cognitive impairment and gender. The two methods for age correction gave similar results and show that age can partially masks the influence of other aspects such as cognitive impairment, ApoE-e4 genotype and gender. Age-related brain atrophy may have a more important association with these factors than previously believed.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s10548-015-0455-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Highlights

  • Alzheimer’s disease (AD), the most common form of dementia, is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that clinically characterizes by gradual loss of cognitive functions

  • The primary goal of Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) is to test whether serial magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), PET, other biological markers, and clinical and neuropsychological assessments can be combined to measure the progression of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and early AD

  • The orthogonal projection to latent structures (OPLS) model based on the original MRI variables resulted in Q2 = 0.567 and R2 = 0.568

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Summary

Introduction

Alzheimer’s disease (AD), the most common form of dementia, is a progressive neurodegenerative disorder that clinically characterizes by gradual loss of cognitive functions. Mild cognitive impairment (MCI), an intermediate condition between normal cognition and dementia, often represents a prodromal form of dementia. MCI patients have a significantly higher risk of converting to AD or other types of dementia. Not all MCI patients develop dementia even after several years. The new criteria for diagnosing ‘‘dementia due to AD’’ and ‘‘MCI due to AD’’ in addition to core clinical criteria, include the use of imaging and other biomarkers to improve the certainty of diagnoses (Albert et al 2011; McKhann et al 2011). The need of additional work to validate these biomarkers for routine clinical practice is noted

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