Abstract

Demand-side flexibility can be incentivised to reduce the need for investment in distribution grids either implicitly or explicitly. Implicit demand-side flexibility is when prosumers react to price signals triggered by network tariffs. Explicit demand-side flexibility is when the DSO can contract flexibility. In this paper, we focus on one contractual arrangement: mandatory curtailment by the DSO for a fixed level of compensation. We develop a long-term bi-level equilibrium model. The upper level (UL) is a regulated DSO deciding on the network investment and/or curtailing consumers for a fixed level of compensation. The lower level (LL) consists of consumers, which can be prosumers or passive consumers. Prosumers can invest in solar PV and battery systems. They react to the network tariffs and to the compensation provided by the DSO for curtailing them. The regulated DSO anticipates the reaction of the consumers when investing in the network and when setting the level of curtailment. Network tariffs are set to recover the network costs and the payments made to consumers that have been curtailed. We find that the economics of explicit demand-side flexibility in distribution grids are positive, and they are more positive when tariffs are cost-reflective. This implies that we cannot avoid redesigning tariffs by using explicit demand flexibility. We also find that setting an appropriate level of compensation is difficult in the presence of prosumers and passive consumers. A level of compensation that is high enough for passive consumers will be gamed by prosumers.

Highlights

  • The Clean Energy Package (CEP) Directive (EU) 2019/944 calls on the Member States to develop regulatory frameworks that incentivise distribution system operators (DSOs) to consider the use of flexibility as an alternative to grid expansion

  • The regulated DSO anticipates the reaction of the consumers when investing in the network and when setting the level of curtailment of passive consumers and prosumers

  • We run our model to assess the savings in distribution network investments that the DSO can realise by adopting different levels of demand-side flexibility

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Summary

Introduction

The Clean Energy Package (CEP) Directive (EU) 2019/944 calls on the Member States to develop regulatory frameworks that incentivise distribution system operators (DSOs) to consider the use of flexibility as an alternative to grid expansion. BMWi (2014), a study for the German energy ministry, finds that allowing DSOs to curtail up to 3% of distributed generation would save about 40% of the network expansion cost. In the academic literature, Spiliotis et al (2016) propose a model that assesses the trade-off between grid expansion and demand and DG curtailment. They find that for a congested 24-node radial distribution network all physical expansions could be avoided with 12% flexible demand. The regulated DSO anticipates the reaction of the consumers when investing in the network and when setting the level of curtailment of passive consumers and prosumers. In the conclusion we summarise our main findings and their policy implications

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