Abstract
WS2-05 Abstract: The general aim of the PHEWE project is to assess the association between weather and acute health effects (daily mortality and hospital admissions) during the warm season in Europe and to provide information for public health policy on preventive and adaptive actions. One such adaptive action is the development of Heat Health Watch Warning Systems (HSWWS) for the prediction and warning of heat-related mortality. This paper describes the climate science issues associated with the development of experimental HSWWS for London, Paris, Barcelona, Rome, and Budapest and specifically addresses the issue of predictability of weather forecast variables and mortality. Furthermore, the paper highlights the fact that no one single climate-based system for the prediction of heat-related mortality can be applied universally across the 5 experimental cities.
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