Abstract

This research note analyzes changes in the congressional district vote during the three sets of House elections held during the Clinton presidency. An in‐depth picture of how House members interpreted these elections is drawn by examining the percentage vote swing in each election by incumbency type. In particular, such a perspective sheds light on why Republican House members overestimated their mandate after 1994 and were not discouraged from pursuing impeachment by the 1998 election results.

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