Abstract
Abstract Aitkin's (1985) analysis of the National party (and its antecedents) depicts it as an ideologically based party, born of a past political culture that pitted the country against the city. Furthermore, Aitkin asserted that the party's electoral fortunes were likely to decline as a result of the impact that demographic, and hence social change, was having on the countrymindedness ethos that has underpinned the party's electoral success since the 1920s. This paper examines Aitkin's thesis by analysing the National party's performance in six northern New South Wales electorates in recent Federal elections, and considers the impact that demographic and social change has had on the party's electoral fortunes.
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