Abstract
Half of humanity experienced an unprecedented situation of lockdown during the Covid-19 pandemic of 2020. The sharp slowdown in trade and the shutdown of entire industrial and commercial sectors had major economic consequences, with a historic collapse in household consumption, particularly in Europe. One country after another decided to gradually organize a lockdown exit, taking into account the heavy health constraints involved. This lockdown exit, and the resulting boom of trade, is likely to come up against a major disruption of supply chains, which needs to be evaluated now. The research note proposes an exploratory reflection on a unique situation since the WW II, and the logistical implications of what can be called the “day after” the Covid-19 pandemic. In order to limit serious disorders in product flow monitoring, the question of a moderate rhythm of lockdown exit and economic recovery is raised.
Highlights
Half of humanity experienced an unprecedented situation of lockdown during the Covid-19 pandemic of 2020
It is not a sterile polemic to note the lack of preparedness of most European countries, with the exception of Germany, for the Covid-19 pandemic and the difficulties encountered in managing a health crisis of such magnitude
As soon as Europe was hit by the Covid-19 pandemic, recognized as such by the WHO on March 11, 2020, the political authorities pointed to the extraordinary vulnerability of the economies of the Old Continent to supplies from Asia, China and India in particular, confirmed by the premonitory article by Haren & Simchi-Levi (2020)
Summary
It is not a sterile polemic to note the lack of preparedness of most European countries, with the exception of Germany, for the Covid-19 pandemic and the difficulties encountered in managing a health crisis of such magnitude. It highlighted the selfishness of governments when health systems were overwhelmed by the exponential growth in the number of patients in acute respiratory distress, which has led, for example, to the organization of complex patient transfers between public hospitals that are far apart from each other (Paché, 2020b). One of the important questions is undoubtedly about the capacity of supply chains to be reactivated rapidly after operating for several weeks in degraded mode
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