The concept of effective population size loses its meaning in the context of optimal management of diversity using molecular markers.

Abstract

Effective population size is a key parameter in conservation genetics. In the management of conservation programs using pedigree information, there is a consensus that the optimal method for maximizing effective population size is to calculate the contribution of each potential parent (the number of offspring that each individual leaves to the next generation) by minimizing the global pedigree-based coancestry between potential parents weighted by their contributions. When using molecular data, the optimal method for managing genetic diversity will remain the same but now the molecular coancestry calculated from markers will replace the pedigree-based coancestry. However, in this situation, the concept of effective population size loses its meaning because with optimal molecular management, genetic diversity increases in early generations and therefore effective population size takes negative values. Furthermore, in the long term, the molecular effective population size does not attain an asymptotic value but it shows an unpredictable behaviour.