Abstract
Different countries have different education systems and their advantages and disadvantages. It is necessary to optimize their own higher education system and formulate policy plans to fully realize the optimization of the higher education system. For this reason, we propose to establish a continuous evaluation model of higher education health. This study mainly uses principal component analysis (PCA) and entropy weight method (EWM) to determine the evaluation model of higher education health status and makes autoregressive moving average model (ARMA) time series analysis based on the higher education evaluation model, which is obtained by studying long-term trends. The future development of education realizes the evaluation of sustainability. For Vietnam, that needs to be adjusted, the evaluation indicators based on the health status of the higher education system in developing countries will be added, tested, and adjusted and combined with the ARMA model prediction to determine the time period for the policy to meet reasonable expectations, and targeted development policies are proposed. Finally, we test the sensitivity of the established model, evaluate and analyze the advantages and disadvantages of the model, And combine the full text analysis to get the final conclusion.
Highlights
Under the current trend of world development, higher education system has become the focus of attention
In order to solve the problem, we make assumptions as follows: (i) assume that the data we have collected on higher education in each country are true and reliable, (ii) assume that the model we have developed can reasonably evaluate the development of higher education systems in each country, (iii) assume that our model is established according to the exact steps, and there is no human error, (iv) assume that the various higher education analysis indicators we have selected have practical significance, and (v) assume that the error of the model can be controlled within a reasonable range and the impact on the analysis results is limited
By establishing a health evaluation model of the national higher education system and applying the model to specific developed and developing countries, after analysis and comparison, we choose Vietnam as a country whose higher education system needs improvement and put forward an achievable and reasonable development vision in the future based on the current development of higher education in Vietnam
Summary
Under the current trend of world development, higher education system has become the focus of attention. It is very difficult to achieve the reform of higher education policy, which requires long-term persistence and great efforts. In view of the present situation of higher education, this paper studies the following problems: (i) use relevant data to evaluate the health status of higher education system in any country, (ii) quantitative analysis and selection of countries where higher education systems need improvement, using relevant data, (iii) propose a reasonable vision for the future of our chosen country in the construction of higher education, (iv) measure the health status of higher education in the country based on relevant data and develop a healthy and continuous model system for it, (v) bring the countrys higher education system to its intended state and propose targeted education policies and a timeline for their implementation, (vi) quantitative analysis of the effectiveness of our proposed educational policies through data, and (vii) analysis of the impact of policy plans on the real world in the process of implementation and the final outcome
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