Abstract
Since the beginning of the 2000s, color revolutions have emerged in the former Soviet geography. Essentially, a pattern was applied in the development of these movements: external support provided to the opposition, youth organizations, and the media; nonviolent actions undertaken; etc. Right after elections, the people started protesting against alleged irregularities in those elections. The revolutions succeeded in Georgia (the 2003 Rose Revolution), Ukraine (the 2004 Orange Revolution), and Kyrgyzstan (the 2005 Tulip Revolution), but although the same pattern was implemented in some other countries, the revolutions did not succeed there. This chapter attempts to explain why a revolution did not happen in the case of Belarus, in the light of chaos theory.
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