Abstract

BackgroundEvidence suggests that the course of low back pain (LBP) symptoms in randomised clinical trials (RCTs) follows a pattern of large improvement regardless of the type of treatment. A similar pattern was independently observed in observational studies. However, there is an assumption that the clinical course of symptoms is particularly influenced in RCTs by mere participation in the trials. To test this assumption, the aim of our study was to compare the course of LBP in RCTs and observational studies.MethodsSource of studies CENTRAL database for RCTs and MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE and hand search of systematic reviews for cohort studies. Studies include individuals aged 18 or over, and concern non-specific LBP. Trials had to concern primary care treatments. Data were extracted on pain intensity. Meta-regression analysis was used to compare the pooled within-group change in pain in RCTs with that in cohort studies calculated as the standardised mean change (SMC).Results70 RCTs and 19 cohort studies were included, out of 1134 and 653 identified respectively. LBP symptoms followed a similar course in RCTs and cohort studies: a rapid improvement in the first 6 weeks followed by a smaller further improvement until 52 weeks. There was no statistically significant difference in pooled SMC between RCTs and cohort studies at any time point:- 6 weeks: RCTs: SMC 1.0 (95% CI 0.9 to 1.0) and cohorts 1.2 (0.7to 1.7); 13 weeks: RCTs 1.2 (1.1 to 1.3) and cohorts 1.0 (0.8 to 1.3); 27 weeks: RCTs 1.1 (1.0 to 1.2) and cohorts 1.2 (0.8 to 1.7); 52 weeks: RCTs 0.9 (0.8 to 1.0) and cohorts 1.1 (0.8 to 1.6).ConclusionsThe clinical course of LBP symptoms followed a pattern that was similar in RCTs and cohort observational studies. In addition to a shared ‘natural history’, enrolment of LBP patients in clinical studies is likely to provoke responses that reflect the nonspecific effects of seeking and receiving care, independent of the study design.

Highlights

  • Evidence suggests that the course of low back pain (LBP) symptoms in randomised clinical trials (RCTs) follows a pattern of large improvement regardless of the type of treatment

  • Included studies The updated search for RCTs yielded a total of 1134 citations of which papers for 70 RCTs (165 treatment arms) satisfied the inclusion criteria and provided pain intensity data useful for analysis (Figure 1)

  • The search for observational studies yielded a total of 653 citations (Figure 2), and data for pain intensity useful for analysis were provided in 15 papers

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Summary

Introduction

Evidence suggests that the course of low back pain (LBP) symptoms in randomised clinical trials (RCTs) follows a pattern of large improvement regardless of the type of treatment. Low back pain symptoms tend to improve in RCTs regardless of the treatment provided Such improvement seems to follow a pattern common to all treatment arms, of rapid early improvement within the first 6 weeks reaching a plateau over the following 12 months [4]. It was found to follow a pattern of general improvement that starts rapidly and plateaus over time This suggests a similarity between RCTs and cohort studies, there is no clear evidence for this from direct comparison. There is only a limited evidence for a direct comparison, mainly comparing RCTs with non-randomised trials and observational studies that included comparator groups [7]

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