The chest X-ray score baseline in predicting continuous oxygen therapy failure in low-risk aged patients after thoracic surgery.

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Radiographic severity assessment can be instrumental in diagnosing postoperative pulmonary complications (PPCs) and guiding oxygen therapy. The radiographic assessment of lung edema (RALE) and Brixia scores correlate with disease severity, but research on low-risk elderly patients is lacking. This study aimed to assess the efficacy of two chest X-ray scores in predicting continuous oxygen therapy (COT) treatment failure in patients over 70 years of age after thoracic surgery. From January 2019 to December 2021, we searched for patients aged 70 years and above who underwent thoracic surgery and received COT treatment, with a focus on those at low risk of respiratory complications. Bedside chest X-rays, RALE, Brixia scores, and patient data were collected. Univariate, multivariate analyses, and 1:2 matching identified risk factors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves determined score sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values. Among the 242 patients surviving to discharge, 19 (7.9%) patients experienced COT failure. COT failure correlated with esophageal cancer surgeries, thoracotomies (36.8% vs. 9%, P=0.003; 26.3% vs. 9.4%, P=0.004), and longer operation time (3.4 vs. 2.8 h, P=0.003). Surgical approach and RALE score were independent risk factors. The prediction model had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.839 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.740-0.938]. Brixia and RALE scores predicted COT failure with AUCs of 0.764 (95% CI, 0.650-0.878) with a cut-off value of 6.027 and 0.710 (95% CI, 0.588-0.832) with a cut-off value of 17.134, respectively, after 1:2 matching. The RALE score predict the risk of COT failure in elderly, low-risk thoracic patients better than the Brixia score. This simple, cheap, and noninvasive method helps evaluate postoperative lung damage, monitor treatment response, and provide early warning for oxygen therapy escalation. Further studies are required to confirm the validity and applicability of this model in different settings and populations.