The changing contexts of fertility outcomes: case studies from a remote village in Bali, Indonesia

Abstract

In the context of ready access to contraceptives, we sought to determine which individual and socio-cultural factors were most important in the dramatic fertility decline seen in an impoverished rural Balinese community. The study built on a 2002 longitudinal survey of 1528 Balinese reproductive-age married women that four years later found a significant proportion did not meet their expressed fertility aspirations. Four case studies of women whose expressed fertility intentions evolved over the study period are described. Culturally specific contextual factors (notably son preference), in interaction with increasing poverty, helped explained when and why their expressed fertility intentions changed. Moreover, many categorized in the second survey as not having meet their previously reported fertility aspirations were, in fact, intentionally spacing births. Although many women opted for smaller families than they actually wanted, and a decades-long, aggressive, two-child government campaign helped make them socially acceptable, contraception enabled the women to engage in strategic birth planning. We conclude that it is unrealistic to expect women in such settings, or indeed any setting, to give meaningful answers to questions in demographic surveys regarding future fertility aspirations.