Abstract
Traditional weather forecasting reminds us of meteorologists sitting with the weather charts spread in front of them and making forecasts based on their ‘experience’. This experience is the knowledge gathered over years of observations and the background theory on weather. Given a background condition, a particular weather pattern, say a low pressure area, tends to evolve on the average in a certain way. This may be termed as mean or ‘climatological’ behaviour. Also atmospheric fluctuations have a certain amount of ‘persistency’. In other words, once a low pressure is formed, it persists for a while. Forecasts made by meteorologists based on ‘climatology’ and ‘persistence’ and empirical knowledge about evolution of weather systems are known as synoptic forecasts. Before the advent of computers, this was the only method of weather forecasting. Upto 12 hours or 24 hours in advance, the meteorologists can actually make very good forecasts based on this technique. But beyond that this type of forecast is not useful.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
