The CHA2DS2-VASc score predicts chronic kidney disease among patients with atrial fibrillation.

Abstract

It is unclear how the CHA2DS2-VASc score can predict subsequent chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) among atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. We identified incident AF patients without CKD between 2000 and 2013 from the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) of Taiwan and calculated the CHA2DS2-VASc score for each patient. Adjusted hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was estimated from multivariate cause-specific Cox models to assess the risk of CKD and ESRD associated with the CHA2DS2-VASc score. A total of 8764 participants with AF who did not have CKD were included in the analysis. The mean age was 69.63 ± 13.48years and 4800 (54.8%) were males. The adjusted HR of CKD displayed a stepwise increase with the increase in the CHA2DS2-VASc score. When compared with those with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0, the adjusted HRs of CKD were 1.57 (95% CI 1.09-2.26), 2.04 (95% CI 1.42-2.94), 2.48 (95% CI 1.70-3.62), 2.88 (95% CI 1.95-4.26), 3.29 (95% CI 2.18-4.95) and 4.00 (95% CI 2.61-6.13) for the AF patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and ≥ 6, respectively. Similarly, as the CHA2DS2-VASc score increased, the adjusted HR of ESRD showed a gradual increase. Patients with a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score were linked to a higher risk of CKD and ESRD in a dose-dependent effect, i.e. the incidence of CKD/ESRD increased with the increasing CHA2DS2-VASc score.