The burden of extreme heat and heatwave on emergency ambulance dispatches: A time-series study in Huainan, China

Abstract

BackgroundAlthough studies have well documented increased mortality risk during extreme heat and heatwaves, few have examined their impacts on emergency ambulance dispatches under different temperature metrics. Additionally, evidence on the attributable risk of emergency ambulance dispatches due to extreme heat and heatwaves is scarce around the world. MethodsA distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was applied to quantify the impact of extreme heat and heatwaves on emergency ambulance dispatches in Huainan, China, during 2011–2013. Several local extreme heat and heatwave definitions were tested by using percentile of daily mean temperature (i.e., 95th, 97.5th and 99th) and duration (i.e.,≥2 consecutive days and ≥3 consecutive days). The fraction of emergency ambulance dispatches attributable to extreme heat and heatwaves was also quantitatively estimated. ResultsBoth extreme heat and heatwaves were significantly associated with increases in emergency ambulance dispatches, and their effects appeared to be acute. For extreme heat effects, the relative risks (RRs) of emergency ambulance dispatches at lag0 steadily increased from 95th percentile of daily mean temperature (1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01–1.05) to 99th percentile (1.07, 95% CI: 1.05–1.10). For heatwave effects, we observed that RRs of emergency ambulance dispatches at lag0 fluctuated between 1.03 and 1.05 across different heatwave definitions. Notably, the fraction of emergency ambulance dispatches attributable to extreme heat decreased with higher percentile of daily mean temperature, dropping from 2.24% (95% CI: 1.41%–2.99%) at 95th percentile to 0.69% (95% CI: 0.45%–0.92%) at 99th percentile. Likewise, we found that heatwaves with higher intensity and (or) longer duration accounted for lower fraction of emergency ambulance dispatches, varying between 0.51%–1.52%. ConclusionsOur findings may have important implications for the development of local heat warming systems and public health interventions to lessen the impact of extreme heat events on population health.