Abstract

Abstract. The atmospheric branch of the hydrological cycle over the Indus, Ganges, and Brahmaputra river basins (IRB, GRB, and BRB respectively) in the South Asian region was investigated. The 3-dimensional model FLEXPART v9.0 was utilized. An important advantage of this model is that it permits the computation of the freshwater budget on air parcel trajectories both backward and forward in time from 0.1 to 1000 hPa in the atmospheric vertical column. The analysis was conducted for the westerly precipitation regime (WPR) (November–April) and the monsoonal precipitation regime (MPR) (May–October) in the period from 1981 to 2015. The main terrestrial and oceanic climatological moisture sources for the IRB, GRB, and BRB and their contribution to precipitation over the basins were identified. For the three basins, the most important moisture sources for precipitation are (i) in the continental regions, the land masses to the west of the basins (in this case called western Asia), the Indian region (IR), and the basin itself, and (ii) from the ocean, the utmost sources being the Indian Ocean (IO) and the Bay of Bengal (BB), and it is remarkable that despite the amount of moisture reaching the Indus and Ganges basins from land sources, the moisture supply from the IO seems to be first associated with the rapid increase or decrease in precipitation over the sources in the MPR. The technique of the composites was used to analyse how the moisture uptake values spatially vary from the sources (the budget of evaporation minus precipitation (E − P) was computed in a backward experiment from the basins) but during the pre-onset and pre-demise dates of the monsoonal rainfall over each basin; this confirmed that over the last days of the monsoon at the basins, the moisture uptake areas decrease in the IO. The Indian region, the Indian Ocean, the Bay of Bengal, and the basins themselves are the main sources of moisture responsible for negative (positive) anomalies of moisture contribution to the basins during composites of driest (wettest) WPR and MPR.

Highlights

  • Research on the hydrological cycle in the Asian region has been extensive, which is mainly because of the strong influence of the Asian summer monsoon (ASM), which develops a crucial role in moisture transport and the supply of precipitation in this region (Webster, 2006)

  • The model permitted the calculation of the budget of evaporation minus precipitation (E − P ) along backward and forward trajectories integrated over 10 days and allowed the identification of the climatological moisture sources of each basin for the westerly precipitation regime (November– April) and monsoonal precipitation regime (May–October) over 35 years (1981–2015)

  • The results indicate that moisture sources are positioned in continental and oceanic regions as well as the basins themselves

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Summary

Introduction

Research on the hydrological cycle in the Asian region has been extensive, which is mainly because of the strong influence of the Asian summer monsoon (ASM), which develops a crucial role in moisture transport and the supply of precipitation in this region (Webster, 2006). The Indian summer monsoon (ISM) is one of the most studied phenomena and is part of the SAM. It develops in response to the large thermal gradients between the warm Asian continent to the north and the cooler Indian Ocean to the south (Slingo, 1999). Heating of the Tibetan Plateau leads to increased ISM rainfall via enhancement of the cross-equatorial circulation and a concurrent strengthening of both the Somali jet and westerly winds that bring moisture to southern India (Rajagopalan and Molnar, 2013). Surface heating over the plateau plays a role in producing cy-

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