Abstract

Suicide mortality and mental ill health are increasing globally. Mental ill health can be measured in multiple ways. It is unclear which measure is most associated with suicide risk. This study explored the association between self-rated mental health and medication record and death by suicide. The 2011 Northern Ireland Census records of adults aged 18-74 years (n=1,098,967) were linked to a centralised database of dispensed prescription medication and death registrations until the end of 2015. Mental health status was ascertained through both a single-item self-reported question in the Census and receipt of psychotropic medication. Logistic regression models examined the association between indicators of mental ill health and likelihood of suicide mortality. Of the 1,098,967 cohort members, 857 died by suicide during the study period. Just over half of these deaths (n=429, 50.1%) occurred in individuals with neither indicator of mental ill health. Cohort members with both self-reported mental ill health and receipt of psychotropic medication had the highest risk of suicide (OR=6.13, 95%CI: 4.94–7.61), followed by those with psychotropic medication record only (OR=4.00, 95%CI: 3.28–4.88) and self-report only (OR=2.88, 95%CI: 2.16–3.84). Individuals who report mental ill health and have a history of psychotropic medication use are at a high risk of suicide mortality. However, neither measure is particularly sensitive, as both failed to signal over half of subsequent suicides. Some individuals who report poor mental health but are not in receipt of psychotropic medication are at increased risk of suicide, indicating possible unmet treatment need. The combination of the two indicators offers more precision for identifying those most at risk for targeted interventions.

Highlights

  • Death by suicide is a major public health concern

  • This study explored the association be­ tween self-rated mental health and medication record and death by suicide

  • The demographic and socio­ economic profile of the study cohort are presented in Table 1 along with the numbers and proportions reporting poor mental health in the Census or who had been on psychotropic medication in the months close to the Census date

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Summary

Introduction

Death by suicide is a major public health concern. It is estimated that worldwide there are over 800,000 suicides each year with an agestandardised suicide rate of approximately 11.4 per 100,000 popula­ tion (World Health Organization [WHO] 2014). Poor mental health is a recognised major risk factor for death by suicide (Tong & Phillips, 2010), identifying people in the population with mental ill health can be difficult. Less than a third of individuals who die by suicide have had contact with mental health services in the 12 months before their death (NCISH 2018; Stene-Larsen & Reneflot, 2019), and a recent review of suicide research in Northern Ireland has highlighted the need for population level interventions and interventions for individuals in high risk groups (O’Neill & O’Connor 2020). Understanding which indicators of mental ill health are most associated with the risk of death by suicide could be used to inform future studies on suicide risk and help identify groups for targeted interventions

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