The Assertive China Narrative: Why It Is Wrong and How So Many Still Bought into It

Abstract

Dissenting assaults on the conventional wisdom that China’s foreign policy became more ‘assertive’ in 2009–2010 have intensified. In this article I develop this revisionist critique in three ways. First, to make the most valid and cumulative assessment of the accuracy of the ‘assertive China narrative’ to date, I conceptualise its key empirical claim as a case of the general phenomenon of ‘foreign policy change’. Second, based on this framework, I present a range of new empirical evidence that, taken as a whole, strongly challenges the notion of a new Chinese assertiveness. Third, since academic China and Asia experts played a pivotal role in creating the narrative, I raise a comprehensive explanation of why a great many scholars so strikingly went along with the flawed idea.