Abstract

Knowledge of feasibly attainable crop yields is needed for many purposes, from field-scale management to national policy decisions. For alfalfa (Medicago sativa L.), the most widely used estimates of yield in the US are whole-farm reports from the National Agriculture Statistics Service, which are based on the farmer’s estimates of total production. These estimates combine establishment-year and production-year harvests, which may inadvertently reduce yield expectations for production-year stands. This article presents new summaries of information from the small-plot to the whole-farm scale, which support the conclusion that dry hay yields (13% moisture) greater than 8 t/acre are feasible under irrigation in the West and yields greater than 6 t/acre are feasible under nonirrigated conditions in many states in the East. Therefore, there is a yield gap of 2- to 3-fold between average and top-tier producers in most states. In the process of reviewing the Census of Agriculture data, it was apparent that some reported yields were unrealistically high, which indicates the need for improved survey questions and independent, on-farm validation.

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