THE AGRO-FOOD EXPORT TRENDS IN UKRAINE: FOCUS ON GRAIN CROP MARKET

Abstract

The analysis of agro-food export trends in Ukraine on the example of grain crop market during 2006-2019 was done. According to study data the share of grain exports as raw materials among all agro-food products increased from 28.73% in 2006 to 43.50% in 2019. The share of flour-grinding products and ready-made grain products in total agro-food export was almost unchangeable (increase from 0.77% to 0.91% and from 2.44% to 1.22% respectively). The amount of flour-grinding products and ready-made grain products export were in 100-200 times less than the amount of grain export as raw material. Our data has shown that export revenue from sale of grain crop and flour-grinding grain products were positively correlated with export amount (r=0,9228 and 0,8836 respectively, p˂0.001). By contrast, the relation between export price and export revenue was not significant (r=0,1498 and -0,0806 respectively). At the same time, export revenue from the sale of ready-made grain products had a significant impact both on export price and export amount, which confirms positive association between evaluated parameters (r=0,9733 and 0,9706 respectively, p˂0.001). This fact has confirmed the possibility of increasing the currency revenue from ready-made grain products export compared to the grain export as raw materials. In addition to direct positive impact on the economics, an increase of processing grain crop export should have a number of accompanying positive effects.