Abstract

The study aimed to investigate the added value of blood glucose monitoring in high-risk individuals (HRIs) participating in pancreatic cancer surveillance. HRIs with a CDKN2A/p16 germline pathogenic variant (PV) participating in pancreatic cancer surveillance were included in this study. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess the relationship between new-onset diabetes (NOD) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). To quantify the diagnostic performance of NOD as a marker for PDAC, receiver operating characteristic curve with area under the curve (AUC) was computed. In total, 220 HRIs were included between 2000-2019. Median age was 61 (IQR 53-71) years and 62.7% of participants were female. During the study period, 26 (11.8%) HRIs developed NOD, of whom 5 (19.2%) later developed PDAC. The other 23 (82.1%) PDAC cases remained NOD-free. Multivariable analysis showed no statistically significant relationship between NOD and PDAC (OR 1.21; 95% CI, 0.39-3.78) and four out of five PDAC cases appeared to have NOD within three months before diagnosis. Furthermore, NOD did not differentiate between HRIs with- and without PDAC (AUC 0.54; 95% CI, 0.46-0.61). In this study we found no added value for longitudinal glucose monitoring in CDKN2A PV carriers participating in an imaging-based pancreatic cancer surveillance program.

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