Abstract

The study aimed to investigate the added value of blood glucose monitoring in high-risk individuals (HRIs) participating in pancreatic cancer surveillance. High-risk individuals with a CDKN2A/p16 germline pathogenic variant participating in pancreatic cancer surveillance were included in this study. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to assess the relationship between new-onset diabetes (NOD) and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). To quantify the diagnostic performance of NOD as a marker for PDAC, receiver operating characteristic curve with area under the curve was computed. In total, 220 HRIs were included between 2000 and 2019. Median age was 61 (interquartile range. 53-71) years and 62.7% of participants were female. During the study period, 26 (11.8%) HRIs developed NOD, of whom 5 (19.2%) later developed PDAC. The other 23 (82.1%) PDAC cases remained NOD-free. Multivariable analysis showed no statistically significant relationship between NOD and PDAC (odds ratio, 1.21; 95% confidence interval, 0.39-3.78) and 4 of 5 PDAC cases seemed to have NOD within 3 months before diagnosis. Furthermore, NOD did not differentiate between HRIs with and without PDAC (area under the curve, 0.54; 95% confidence interval, 0.46-0.61). In this study, we found no added value for longitudinal glucose monitoring in CDKN2A pathogenic variant carriers participating in an imaging-based pancreatic cancer surveillance program.

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