Abstract

Peak oxygen consumption (Vo(2)peak) is a strong independent predictor of prognosis in patients with severe chronic heart failure (CHF) and is used to guide optimal timing of transplantation. However, its assessment is relatively expensive and time-consuming and requires sophisticated equipment and highly trained personnel. The purpose of this study was to determine whether changes in 6-minute walk test (6WT) distance, a simple, inexpensive potential alternative measure of functional capacity, can predict changes in Vo(2)peak in patients with severe CHF. Sixteen subjects (ejection fraction 23+/-2%, Vo(2)peak 16.2+/-1.1 ml kg (-1)min(-1)) underwent repeated 6WT and Vo(2)peak assessments that included familiarization and 4 serial measures, 6 weeks apart (baseline and at Weeks 6, 12 and 18). Analysis compared baseline performance with each subsequent testing occasion. At baseline, mean (+/-SE) VO(2)peak was 16.3+/-1.1 ml kg(-1) min(-1) and 6WT distance was 458+/-21 m. 6WT and Vo(2)peak were strongly correlated at all timepoints (average r=0.82; all p<0.05). However, mixed model analysis, assessing the capacity of the changes seen in 6WT to predict changes in Vo(2)peak, showed no statistical significance (F=0.11; p=0.74). The 6WT is commonly used to assess functional capacity in patients with heart failure. This study demonstrates that, despite a strong cross-sectional correlation with Vo(2)peak, changes in the 6WT are not a reliable predictor of changes in Vo(2)peak within patients. Therefore, the 6WT has limited utility as a serial measure to assess changes in the clinical status of patients with severe heart failure.

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