The 2020 Monte Cristo (Nevada) Earthquake Sequence: Stress Transfer in the Context of Conjugate Strike‐Slip Faults

Abstract

AbstractOn 15 May 2020 at 11:03 (UTC) a shallow earthquake with a Magnitude Mw 6.5 struck the Central Walker Lane in the Mina Deflection region. This shallow event offers the possibility to model the change in Coulomb failure function (ΔCFF) including the historical events and to analyze the effect of fluid redistribution on fault ruptures. The static stress change modeling shows that the 1932 Cedar Mountain (Mw 7.1) earthquake increased ΔCFF on the 2020 Monte Cristo left‐lateral rupture by an average value of ∼2 bar suggesting a fault interaction in the context of conjugate strike‐slip faults. Also, the ΔCFF caused by the Monte Cristo earthquake shows a 0.1–0.5 bar increase on nearby right‐lateral fault planes at 8 km depth. In contrast to the 2019 Ridgecrest sequence (Mw 6.4 and Mw 7.1), our poroelastic stress change modeling of the 2020 Monte Cristo earthquake shows no apparent correlation between the positive stress change values and fluid redistribution along the Monte Cristo conjugated ruptures. Nevertheless, the Coulomb modeling using adapted poroelastic solutions shows that the 2020 Monte Cristo mainshock increased stresses with a value of 0.2–0.9 bar south of the Mina Deflection along the White Mountains and Fish Lake Valley fault zones. The stress values combined with a strain rate of 40–50 nanostrain/yr represent a shift of 8%–15% of the recurrence time interval for a large earthquake along the White Mountains and Fish Lake Valley faults suggesting an elevated pore‐fluid effect for faults reactivation in both undrained and drained fluid conditions.