Abstract
Sixty-four nursery Ss and 64 kindergarten Ss predicted the next event in sequences that were either predominantly alternating or repeating. There were 100 trials in acquisition. For the 100 transfer trials, the type of sequence was switched for half of the Ss. Bogartz’s model represented the essential features of the data. These findings support his theory, which emphasizes attention and short-term memory processes and assumes the learning of rules rather than probabilities. Furthermore, the results demonstrate that his theory can be extended to situations where children must change rules.
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