Terrorist attack assessment: Paris November 2015 and Brussels March 2016

Abstract

This paper intends to establish conceptual foundations of analyzing the economic dimensions of terrorism. The economic impact of terrorist attack model (EITA-Model) attempts to estimate the optimum number of potential terrorist incidents that can influence the regional economic performance. The model suggests a three-phase of terrorist operations: (i) the terrorist group attack setting; (ii) the terrorist group attack behavior; and (iii) the post-effect of the terrorist group attack. The model introduces five alternative risk indicators for the estimation of terrorist attacks: (i) the maximum level of terrorist group attack targets (φ′); (ii) terrorist group attack destruction (−π); (iii) economic terrorist wear (W); (iv) economic desgrowth (−δ); and (v) the multidimensional graphical sub-strategic national security sector analysis. The model investigates the recent terrorist attacks in Paris November 2015 and in Brussels March 2016.