Territorial and Branch Assessment of Water Management Balance of Georgia Based on Differential Estimation and Modeling of Economic Impact on Water Resources

Abstract

Political and social-economic coups in the 1990s of the last century in Georgia, as well as in countries of the former USSR and East Europe has left its mark on the water management problems of those countries. Thus, for alternative assessment of probable water economy balance first priority is to select a representative period in dynamics for utilization of water resources. For Georgia such period is 1980s of the last century, as the most active period in historic economic development. The indicated period is characterized by comparatively reliable water management statistics, with stable socio-economic background and maximum anthropogenic load on water resources. For the very period branch and territorial structure of water management balance have been studied. Based on that alternative forecast have been assessed for the first quarter of the current century,according to the planned scenario during the above mentioned period. The indicated studies have been carried out based on differential assessment and mathematical modeling of economic load on water resources. Water management models have been developed for certain categories of water consumers using economic, demographic and ecological criteria.