Abstract
The following phenomenon has been strongly supported by empirical observations (e.g. König (1986), Piore (1979)): a migrant typically is planning only a temporary stay in the host country (3–6 years). But actually he postpones the date of return such that remi-gration becomes less probable after some time. In other words, temporary migration has turned into permanent migration. As well-known empirical examples for this behaviour we can cite here guest-worker migration in Germany (see König (1986)) or immigration from Middle- and South-America into the southern part of the United States.
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