Temporal trend of HIV/AIDS cases in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil, 2007-2016.

Abstract

to analyze the temporal trend of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) incidence, detection and mortality coefficients in the state of Minas Gerais between 2007 and 2016. this was a time series study of data held on the Notifiable Health Conditions Information System (Sinan) using Prais-Winsten regression. in the period studied, 35,349 cases were notified, with predominance of sexually transmitted cases (81.7%), 50.3% of which were heterosexual cases and 22.8% were homosexual cases. AIDS incidence increased (annual change 1.6%; 95%CI 0.0;3.3) as did HIV detection (annual change 60.3%; 95%CI 22.9;109.0). The mortality rate was stationary; HIV+ notifications increased from 3.8% in 2007 to 65.1% in 2016. the growing trend of HIV+ detection coincided with the government strategy to identify cases. AIDS incidence increased.