Abstract

A hot-spot region of climate change is the Middle East where temperatures actually have a rising tendency and this will increase in future. To mitigate the progressing thermal burden urban planning has to develop adaptation measures. On the basis of micrometeorological simulations for a quarter in Cairo we suggest a decomposition of air temperatures into two temporal and two spatial patterns, respectively explaining 97% and 94% of the temperature variability. We find that land-use has a significant impact on the spatial temperature distribution and should be modified for the purpose of heat adaptation. However, just 13% of the spatial temperature variability are explained by land-use, which is a quite limited impact. Regional weather conditions are the dominant factor for the spatial as well as the temporal development of urban heat.

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