Temporal and Spatial Soil Moisture–Precipitation Coupling Relationships Over the Tibetan Plateau

Abstract

AbstractSoil moisture can significantly influence weather and climate via land‒atmosphere interactions over the Tibetan Plateau. However, the temporal and spatial preferences of precipitation for soil moisture anomalies and the underlying mechanisms over the plateau have not been determined. Using multiple satellite data sets (including Global Precipitation Measurement precipitation data and Soil Moisture Active Passive and Advanced SCATterometer soil moisture data) and ERA5 reanalysis data, the temporal and spatial soil moisture–precipitation coupling (SMPC) relationships in seven summers during 2015–2021 over the plateau are quantified based on a percentile‐based method. The satellite observations show prevalent positive temporal SMPC across the plateau, indicating that wetter‐than‐normal soil conditions tend to lead to more afternoon precipitation. While ERA5 generally aligns with satellite findings, it underestimates areas with positive temporal SMPC. Both the satellite and ERA5 data show that spatial SMPC relationships are usually statistically insignificant, but a few regions show significant positive relationships, that is, precipitation is more likely to occur over soils wetter than the surrounding soils. Moreover, the satellite observations suggest an inter‐event positive correlation between the temporal and spatial SMPC relationships. ERA5 agrees with the satellite‐based results over the western plateau but shows discrepancies over the eastern plateau. The temporal and spatial variations in soil moisture modulate the partitioning of surface heat fluxes, planetary boundary layer height, and lifting condensation level, promoting moist convection and afternoon precipitation. The findings from this study shed new light on SMPC and have important implications for precipitation forecasting over the plateau.