Temporal analysis of the prevalence of congenital hypospadias in the municipality of Gela

Abstract

to evaluate the risk profile of hypospadias in Gela, an Italian National Priority Contaminated Site (NPCS) located in Sicily Region (Southern Italy), characterized by a significant excess of hypospadias in newborn residents compared to data from reference on regional, national, and international basis and, until 2014, by the presence of a petrochemical plant. geographical analyses were conducted by comparing the prevalence of the Gela municipality to prevalence found in Sicily, in a territorial area bordering Gela (ALG), and in the NPCSs of Milazzo and Priolo. The geographical comparisons were conducted for the period 2010-2020, the trend within the Gela NPCS was evaluated by comparing two subperiods (2010-2014 and 2015-2020). children up to 1 year of age with hypospadias resident in the municipality of Gela in the period 2010-2020. crude odds ratios (OR) and respective 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were used to compare the prevalence observed in Gela and that detected in the comparison areas. excess risk for hypospadias was highlighted in 2010-2020 in Gela vs Sicily (OR 4.45; 95%CI 3.45-5.75), vs ALG (OR 4.29; 95%CI 3.02-6.10), and vs the NPCSs of Milazzo (OR 2.32; 95%CI 1.32-4.07) and Priolo (OR 2.37; 95%CI 1.55-3.62). The between-period comparisons in Gela did not show an important difference between 2010-2014 and 2015-2020 (OR 1.37; 95%CI 0.83-2.24), with a prevalence of 98.9 and 72.4 per 10,000, respectively. the prevalence of hypospadias in 2015-2020 remains very high, although decreasing when compared to 2010-2014 period. The Gela data, despite the refinery being closed after 2014, suggest a complex situation in which multiple risk factors may play a role.