Abstract

5MW wind turbine gearbox high-speed bearing temperature rise failure is one of the important factors affecting the stable operation of the wind turbine, accurate prediction and timely diagnosis can effectively improve the efficiency of the wind turbine. In this paper, a combined modelling wind turbine gearbox high-speed bearing temperature rise prediction method based on Bayesian-LightGBM and improved PSO-SVM is proposed with a 5 MW wind turbine as the research object. Firstly, the initial dimensionality reduction of SCADA data is performed by sparse random projection matrix, which reduces the redundant data. Secondly, feature selection is performed on the remaining data using Bayesian-LightGBM to identify 13 key input feature parameters. Then, the hyperparameters of the PSO algorithm are optimised using Bayesian algorithm and further, the optimised PSO algorithm is applied to identify the SVM parameters. Finally, a simulation experiment platform is established based on MATLAB to verify the temperature rise of high-speed bearings in gearboxes of wind turbines by example calculation and comparative analysis. The results show that the model established in this paper is effective, the prediction results are accurate and the performance is stable, and then compared with the algorithms such as PSO-SVM, SVM, BP, etc, the coefficient of determination of the algorithm is greater than 0.994 in both the training set and the test set, and the average decision percentage error is around 1.88% in both.

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