Abstract
Malaria has been endemic in Guangzhou for more than 50 years. The goal of this study was to use a negative binomial regression to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and malaria reported. Our results revealed that each 1°C rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases. Likewise, a one percent rise in relative humidity led to an increase of 3.99% and a one hour rise in sunshine led to an increase of 0.68% in the monthly number of cases. Our findings may be useful for developing a simple, precise malaria early warning system.
Highlights
Malaria has been endemic in Guangzhou for more than 50 years
Each 1°C rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases
A one percent rise of relative humidity led to an increase of 3.99% and a one hour rise in monthly duration of sunshine led to an increase by 0.68 in the monthly number of cases (Table 2)
Summary
Malaria has been endemic in Guangzhou for more than 50 years. The goal of this study was to use a negative binomial regression to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and malaria reported. Our results revealed that each 1°C rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases. Letter to the editor Malaria is a protozoan disease caused by parasites of the genus Plasmodium. It is one of the leading causes of illness and death in the world [1], the vast majority of cases are in Africa and South-East Asia [2]. Due to the difference in geographical and climate characteristics, meteorological variables
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