Abstract

Malaria has been endemic in Guangzhou for more than 50 years. The goal of this study was to use a negative binomial regression to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and malaria reported. Our results revealed that each 1°C rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases. Likewise, a one percent rise in relative humidity led to an increase of 3.99% and a one hour rise in sunshine led to an increase of 0.68% in the monthly number of cases. Our findings may be useful for developing a simple, precise malaria early warning system.

Highlights

  • Malaria has been endemic in Guangzhou for more than 50 years

  • Each 1°C rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases

  • A one percent rise of relative humidity led to an increase of 3.99% and a one hour rise in monthly duration of sunshine led to an increase by 0.68 in the monthly number of cases (Table 2)

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Summary

Introduction

Malaria has been endemic in Guangzhou for more than 50 years. The goal of this study was to use a negative binomial regression to identify the relationship between meteorological variables and malaria reported. Our results revealed that each 1°C rise of temperature corresponds to an increase of 0.90% in the monthly number of malaria cases. Letter to the editor Malaria is a protozoan disease caused by parasites of the genus Plasmodium. It is one of the leading causes of illness and death in the world [1], the vast majority of cases are in Africa and South-East Asia [2]. Due to the difference in geographical and climate characteristics, meteorological variables

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