Abstract

Coral reefs are increasingly threatened by global and local anthropogenic stressors such as rising seawater temperature, nutrient enrichment, sedimentation, and overfishing. Although many studies have investigated the impacts of local and global stressors on coral reefs, we still do not fully understand how these stressors influence coral community structure, particularly across environmental gradients on a reef system. Here, we investigate coral community composition across three different temperature and productivity regimes along a nearshore-offshore gradient on lagoonal reefs of the Belize Mesoamerican Barrier Reef System (MBRS). A novel metric was developed using ultra-high-resolution satellite-derived estimates of sea surface temperatures (SST) to classify reefs as exposed to low (lowTP), moderate (modTP), or high (highTP) temperature parameters over 10 years (2003 to 2012). Coral species richness, abundance, diversity, density, and percent cover were lower at highTP sites relative to lowTP and modTP sites, but these coral community traits did not differ significantly between lowTP and modTP sites. Analysis of coral life history strategies revealed that highTP sites were dominated by hardy stress-tolerant and fast-growing weedy coral species, while lowTP and modTP sites consisted of competitive, generalist, weedy, and stress-tolerant coral species. Satellite-derived estimates of Chlorophyll-a (chl-a) were obtained for 13-years (2003–2015) as a proxy for primary production. Chl-a concentrations were highest at highTP sites, medial at modTP sites, and lowest at lowTP sites. Notably, thermal parameters correlated better with coral community traits between site types than productivity, suggesting that temperature (specifically number of days above the thermal bleaching threshold) played a greater role in defining coral community structure than productivity on the MBRS. Dominance of weedy and stress-tolerant genera at highTP sites suggests that corals utilizing these two life history strategies may be better suited to cope with warmer oceans and thus may warrant protective status under climate change.

Highlights

  • Coral reefs are threatened locally and globally by anthropogenic stressors such as warming induced by increasing greenhouse gas emissions, excessive nutrients from runoff and sewage effluent, overfishing, and habitat destruction [1,2,3]

  • Coral abundance was significantly lower at highTP sites compared to Low temperature parameter (lowTP) (p = 0.005) and Moderate temperature parameter (modTP) (p = 0.020) sites, but was not significantly different between lowTP and modTP sites (Fig 2A)

  • non-metric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) analysis of the ecological parameters showed that community structure was significantly different between highTP sites and lowTP/modTP sites along the NMDS2 axis, but was not different between lowTP and modTP sites (p>0.050) (Fig 3)

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Summary

Introduction

Coral reefs are threatened locally and globally by anthropogenic stressors such as warming induced by increasing greenhouse gas emissions, excessive nutrients from runoff and sewage effluent, overfishing, and habitat destruction [1,2,3]. Of particular concern are increasing greenhouse gas emissions that continue to cause warming of the global oceans [1, 4] This warming trend is especially troubling in the Caribbean Sea, where rates of warming are higher than in many other tropical basins [5], and where coral cover has declined by up to 80% in recent decades [6]. In Belize, the 1998 El Niño bleaching event was the most significant bleaching induced mass coral mortality event on lagoonal reefs over the last 3000 years [9] These large-scale coral bleaching events are projected to increase in frequency and severity as the climate continues to warm [4, 10]. Caribbean-wide and global-scale bleaching events are predicted to continue unless corals can increase their thermal tolerance at a rate of 0.2–1.0°C per decade [4]

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