Abstract

Research focus (problem description, short background):The energy efficiency of a district heating (DH) system can be improved by fine-tuning supply and return temperatures and flow rates without need for invasive renovation of the end user heating systems. Research methods:We employ a correlation coefficient to examine the relationship between the local supply temperature and the use of heat; research relies on data hourly heat generation records from each heat generation facility in the DH system of Omsk, Russia, 2016–2017. Key research results/findings:The correlation declines the further we go from winter. Firstly, the relationship between the transition states and the outside temperature results from the relationship between external conditionings and heat parameters in DH. Secondly, both the energy consumption and the supply temperature are affected by the infrastructure, other weather conditions, and energy price; they are also highly dependent on consumer behavior, which is arbitrary, heterogeneous, and interdependent. Thirdly, the regional heating load is influenced by the characteristics of a building cluster. Although nearly all DH plants have a control system in place, we find that human factor jeopardizes the performance of such systems. Main conclusions and recommendations:To generalize these results to other systems, we emphasize that the effective diffusion coefficients and effective heat-loss coefficients are influenced by the thermal dynamics in the network and change on typical time scale (one year), hence their uncertainty. This study has produced a technique for visualizing the relationship that exists in a DH system between supply temperature and heat consumption; this technique is expected to contribute to the dynamic modeling, control, and planning of future integrated energy systems. The load profiles are dynamic; a thermal storage could be used to shift the timing of heating loads to minimize the flow through DH networks.

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