Abstract

Advanced agriculture, mining and construction are trimming their workforces, manufacturing has been ‘hollowed out’, and the service sector is increasingly capital-intensive. Rapid economic and technological transformation influences company investment and can affect labor demand and wage relativities. From a deductive introduction oriented to the societal scope of innovations, this inquiry proceeds empirically, for the first time analyzing seven interacting drivers of capital / labor substitution or labor displacement. Three time-phased response scenarios are related to levels of technological impact. Thereafter, inductive theorising probes workforce futures for both developed and developing countries, arguing that not only are immediate relations of capital and labor in flux but, more widely, so are industrial and market organisation, the global geo-economic order, and the human trajectory itself.

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