Abstract

Geothermal energy can play an important role in decarbonizing the heating sector, however, a limiting factor is that heat demand in urban areas does not usually coincide spatially with geological settings favorable to the extraction of geothermal energy. Long-distance heat transport could enable the direct use of geothermal resources even in areas with low or no geothermal potential. This paper proposes the cost-optimal coordinated deployment of geothermal heating plants together with heat transport and distribution networks to simultaneously supply geothermal heat to multiple urban areas. To this end, a holistic approach comprising the mapping of geothermal potential for direct-use, the estimation of district heating potential, and a two-step optimization model to calculate cost-optimal large-scale geothermal district heating systems, is presented and applied to the Free State of Bavaria in Germany. As a result, heat supply costs can be reduced by 15% if fewer geothermal wells are drilled in more geologically favorable areas at greater distances from heat sinks. Calculated levelized costs of heat without local distribution networks of 33–39 €/MWh show that geothermal energy could transition from a local to a regional use if utilized in in scenarios with high full-load hours. The proposed methodology can be adapted to develop expansion strategies for deep geothermal energy in other similar regions worldwide.

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